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ENERGY

Lake Onslow Pumped Hydro

Clutha Pumped Hydro Consortium (private) · Otago

A proposed pumped-hydro battery at Lake Onslow, Central Otago, for dry-year energy security. The figure shown is the highest official estimate, $15.7b, a P50 from the 2023 NZ Battery Project business case, for the scheme National cancelled in January 2024. It was then revived privately: the Clutha Pumped Hydro Consortium, whose shareholders include ex-Meridian chief Keith Turner and former minister David Parker, entered fast-track consenting in March 2026 with a scaled-back $8-10b scheme, about 1,500 jobs, potentially operating by 2035. Its scope, cost and financing remain unconfirmed.

40
Weak signals: elevated risk Data: High
Delivery Confidence Score, 0 to 100, higher is better: a ranking of how strong this project's delivery signals are, not a probability. It blends eight factors, including the election risk and policy alignment shown below.
Breakdown

Data current as at 13 Jun 2026, when the pipeline was last checked against its source.

Key facts

Region
Otago
Sector
Energy
Status
Planning
Estimated value
$15.7b
Indicative completion
2035
Funding status
No Source
Lead organisation
Clutha Pumped Hydro Consortium (private)
Election risk
Extreme

Election risk assessment

Cancelled by National in 2024, then accepted for fast-track consent in 2026 via a private consortium, highly speculative, capital-intensive and politically contested.

Government priority alignment

COUNTER: Cancelled. Counter to the government's fast-track-renewables energy approach.

Chronology

Source

RNZ: Lake Onslow pumped hydro cost estimate rises almost 300 percent to $15.7b (2023) ↗ · interest.co.nz: Government puts $15.7b price tag on Lake Onslow pumped hydro ↗ · RNZ: Lake Onslow pumped hydro scheme considered for fast-track by government (2026) ↗

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