OTHER

Defence Estate Modernisation

NZ Defence Force / Ministry of Defence · National / Multi-region

Multi-year regeneration of NZDF bases (Ohakea, Burnham, Linton, Devonport, Whenuapai): new facilities, accommodation and infrastructure. The Defence Estate Regeneration Programme is a ~$2.1b alliance (EY/Beca); the Defence Estate Portfolio Plan puts whole-of-life estate cost at ~$12.6b to FY40, alongside the separate ~$12b Defence Capability Plan.

Mixed signals Data: High

Delivery Confidence Score, 0 to 100, higher is better: a ranking of how strong this project's delivery signals are, not a probability. It blends eight factors, including the election risk and policy alignment shown below.

Breakdown▾

Data current as at 13 Jun 2026, when the pipeline was last checked against its source.

Key facts

Region: National / Multi-region
Sector: Other
Status: Planning
Estimated value: $2.1b
Indicative completion: 2034
Funding status: Part Funded
Lead organisation: NZ Defence Force / Ministry of Defence
Election risk: High

Election risk assessment

Bipartisan support for defence following 2024 Defence Policy Review. AUKUS-adjacent investments may be scaled differently but core estate modernisation would continue.

Government priority alignment

HIGH: Aligns with the government's expanded defence investment following the 2024 Defence Policy Review.

Chronology

2022Defence Policy Review launched: first comprehensive review in 10+ years
2023National wins election; Defence Minister signals expanded investment commitment
2024Defence Policy Review final report: $12B+ infrastructure deficit identified. $3.5B 10-year programme funded
2025Estate programme begins: Ohakea runway upgrade, Devonport facilities
2028Major base upgrades at Burnham and Linton complete
2034Full estate modernisation programme target

Source

NZ Defence Force ↗

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