What's planned, what it will cost, and how strong the delivery signals are on each one heading into the November election.
What gets built in New Zealand is decided as much by who is in government as by engineering or need. A road, a rail line, a water scheme or a mine is a statement of priorities, and priorities change with the ballot box.
The 2023 change of government made that plain: within months, Auckland Light Rail, Let's Get Wellington Moving, iReX and Three Waters were cancelled or rebuilt, while a roads-first programme and fast-track mining were elevated in their place. Billions of dollars of direction turned on a single election.
InfraWatch rates every tracked project for election risk the standard way, as likelihood times consequence (the ISO 31000 approach used across risk management), and publishes a transparent 0 to 100 Delivery Confidence Score that ranks projects by how strong their delivery signals are. Both are built by fixed rules from published positions, funding status and delivery stage, and tested against the 2023 change of government.
These are judgements, not forecasts. What happens on 7 November 2026 is nobody's to know. What the site can do is show you, project by project and sourced throughout, what is exposed if the government changes, and what is not.
Risk ratings and the Delivery Confidence Score are editorial assessments built by fixed rules from published party positions, funding status and delivery stage.